Category Archives: betting

betting

10 Tips for Betting on Football

While these tips don’t guarantee you’re going to win, hopefully they can make you a little less square and a little more sharp in your picks this season. Not all games work according to this formula, but it is usually a good rule of thumb.”

But that doesn’t mean you have to bet like a “square” and throw away your hard-earned money.

Michael Konik, a sports writer and best-selling author of The Smart Money (Simon & Schuster 2006), explains why it is so hard for the recreational gambler to win at betting on football. Drinking and Gambling Don’t Mix – “There is a reason the casinos in Las Vegas supply you with free drinks while you are gambling,” Moseman says. Otherwise, you’re better off doing your own research.”

So, how much are we gambling each football season?

“Most people with an understanding of football gambling bet between 3 percent and 5 percent of their bankroll, increasing when they win and reducing when they lose,” Vaccaro says. Research Football Services – “Most sports services realize that most people who sign up with them are insecure,” Gordon warns. He loses year after year, according to Dan Gordon, a top football handicapper and author of How to Beat the Sports Books (Cardoza Publishing 2005). “In the NFL, a game will often be totally turned around by one or two plays, or even a single penalty. “He is not jaded by teams and does not bet with his heart. These books change their numbers according to the betting patterns of their customers, so it is not entirely uncommon to find two or three point differences in the lines.”

5. “The sharps are usually members of a betting syndicate privy to the most up-to-date information on injuries, weather, game plans, and, most important, the real power of the teams involved. If you want advice about sports betting, find someone who has a successful track record. “For example, if you have a $1,000 bankroll for the season, you should generally bet no more than $50 a game.”

“The standard bet requires gamblers to lay $11 for every $10 they want to win with the extra $1 or 10 percent known as the juice,” Konik says.

Another difference between squares and sharps is how they approach betting on game day.

Certainly not back into the pockets of the average bettor.

“A square is the average, unsophisticated gambler whose decision making is based on hunches, media manipulation, or spurious systems that cannot overcome the bookmaker’s inherent mathematical advantage,” Konik explains. The only touts bettors should consider are the ones who talk about the long haul and realistic winning percentages, which are in the upper 50 percent to lower 60 percent range.”

“The bookies fear and despise a tiny coterie of professional bettors known as ‘the sharps,’” Konik says. “As for me, the best bet in football is betting the point spread or over/under totals on individual games. “Thus, the bookies love and cherish the squares.”

Although exact figures are impossible to calculate, according to Jimmy Vaccaro, widely considered to be Las Vegas’ most influential bookmaker, Americans probably wager more than $50 billion a year on NFL and college football combined. “Most people prefer to bet on the ‘better’ team, the one that will probably win the game. Giving 11 to 10 odds is almost always the cheapest price you can give.”

9. In fact, sports bettors must pick 52.4 percent winners just to break even.”

7. There are almost an infinite number of scenarios that can happen in a single football game. If you like an underdog, it is best to get your bet in as late as possible, where there is heavy action from squares on favorites. Chasing losses is the fastest way to the poor house.”

Even Hollywood is not immune – think Two for the Money with Al Pacino and Matthew McConaughey.. “There will be more discrepancy in the numbers at different sports books. “The key to proper money management is to be sure not to bet more than you can afford to lose.”

“The biggest mistake that amateur bettors make is they increase their bets when they are losing,” Sevransky says. Thanks to the juice, the only one who profits in this scenario is the bookmaker.

And remember, in the immortal words of “Fast” Eddie Felson, “Money won is twice as sweet as money earned.”

“A sharp or smart has a plan of what he wants to do,” says Vaccaro, the director of sports operations and public relations at Lucky’s Race and Sports Book in Las Vegas. Oakland comes to mind) seem like the Super Bowl. “Squares usually bet later in the week and they tend to pick the favorites. To be a successful sports bettor you need to operate with a clear mind.”

1. “In trying to bamboozle potential customers, many services make claims about having scouts all over the country that give them inside information and promise 70 or even 80 percent winners, as if the bookmakers were the biggest suckers in the world.

Ted Sevransky, a well-known Las Vegas gambler and sports consultant with Sportsmemo.com, agrees.

“The talking heads on TV know nothing about sports betting,” says Sevransky. “Teams play inspired ball at home.

Also, it’s probably a good idea to disregard advice from the myriad of ex-players and football experts you see on television each week.

“A square or recreational player might have a vague plan, but after two Corona’s he will definitely run to the window and make a hasty decision on the USC-Notre Dame game because he wants to be involved in the party atmosphere,” Vaccaro says. Avoid Exotic Bets – “For very skilled handicappers, with a proven track record, there can, at least in theory, be value in betting parlays,” says Gordon on the type of bet that combines two or more individual wagers. Avoid Chasing Bets – “Don’t do it! There is no worse way to mismanage your bankroll than to chase your bets after a losing day,” cautions Moseman on the dangerous practice of trying to immediately win back your losses.

8. He is not taken in by being involved in USC-Notre Dame just because it is the biggest watched game of the day. Shop For Numbers – “Another important aspect of betting on football is shopping for the best number,” Moseman explains. So underdogs tend to be slightly undervalued – except by the sharps.”

So, how much should you bet a game?

2. And why not? We have unconditional love for the sport and betting $50 or $100 on a game adds an extra rush of adrenaline. Locks Don’t Exist – “Anyone who has watched sports for about a month realizes that the difference between winning and losing, especially against the spread, can be infinitesimally small,” Gordon says. If North Texas is his best bet on a Saturday then that is his bet. There is a wealth of information on the Internet; it is just up to you to find it and research it daily.”

3. Focus on Conferences – “The best way to win money betting football is to develop a niche and follow it closely,” Moseman advises. “If you become an expert on a smaller conference like the WAC, you have a good chance to beat the house because sports book operators do not have the time or resources to follow this conference the way you can.

Betting on football games; whether it’s through a local bookie, an offshore Internet site or a Nevada casino (still the only legal place in America to make football bets), most of us have done it or know of someone who has. If you are going to go with a favorite, it is best to place your bet early in the week when the sharps are laying heavy money on the points. Bet at the Right Time – “The sharp bettors tend to bet underdogs, and they tend to bet them early,” Moseman says.

However, Konik adds that there are some bettors who actually know how to beat the bookies.

“There is probably no better bet in sports than playing an underdog at home,” Moseman says. Consider Underdogs – “In the long-run, it’s easier to win betting on the underdog,” Konik says.

And where does all that money go?

Moseman agrees and especially likes home underdogs. The only locks that exist are those that need keys to open them.”

Newspapers and popular sports sites routinely publish the lines or point spreads for games, and football insiders offer their picks to viewers each week on ESPN and other cable networks. Slim underdogs regularly win outright. They use powerful computers that can process millions of bits of data and produce a more accurate point-spread line than the bookmakers.”

4. “Common wisdom says that over the course of a long football season the average man or woman will pick approximately 50 percent winners. “When you’re in a good rhythm and winning, you want to increase your bets. Money Management – “This is without a doubt the most important aspect of betting on sports and possibly the most neglected,” says Morey “Doc” Moseman, a professional gambler and sports consultant with DocSports.com for nearly 40 years.

“In an average season, fewer than one bettor in twelve turns a profit,” Gordon says.

But even though the math says it’s virtually impossible to win on a consistent basis, Americans continue to bet on football. “If you listen to their advice, you are sure to lose. Also, being “in action” can make a dull late-afternoon game (Buffalo vs.

6. “Over the course of several seasons, the percentage of bettors who turn a profit is minuscule.”

10. The payout is just the same as far as he is concerned. But, when you’re struggling, that’s when you want to reduce your bet size until you get out of your slump. Big underdogs often find ways to cover the spread and they rarely give up toward the end of a game in front of the home crowd.”

So, is it possible for the average square to become a little sharper in making football bets this season? According to professionals like Vacarro, Konik and Gordon, amateur bettors have the best chance to win if they demonstrate a little patience and follow the 10 basic tips below. “Because alcohol clouds your judgment and usually helps you to make rash decisions you usually wouldn’t otherwise make. The NFL, for example, will have very similar numbers at most of the betting shops you visit. On college you will be able to find different lines at different sports books

10 Tips for Betting on Football

“The sharps are usually members of a betting syndicate privy to the most up-to-date information on injuries, weather, game plans, and, most important, the real power of the teams involved. “In trying to bamboozle potential customers, many services make claims about having scouts all over the country that give them inside information and promise 70 or even 80 percent winners, as if the bookmakers were the biggest suckers in the world. Consider Underdogs – “In the long-run, it’s easier to win betting on the underdog,” Konik says. “In the NFL, a game will often be totally turned around by one or two plays, or even a single penalty. “Squares usually bet later in the week and they tend to pick the favorites. The only touts bettors should consider are the ones who talk about the long haul and realistic winning percentages, which are in the upper 50 percent to lower 60 percent range.”

But even though the math says it’s virtually impossible to win on a consistent basis, Americans continue to bet on football. He loses year after year, according to Dan Gordon, a top football handicapper and author of How to Beat the Sports Books (Cardoza Publishing 2005). Avoid Chasing Bets – “Don’t do it! There is no worse way to mismanage your bankroll than to chase your bets after a losing day,” cautions Moseman on the dangerous practice of trying to immediately win back your losses. Money Management – “This is without a doubt the most important aspect of betting on sports and possibly the most neglected,” says Morey “Doc” Moseman, a professional gambler and sports consultant with DocSports.com for nearly 40 years. To be a successful sports bettor you need to operate with a clear mind.”

5. “As for me, the best bet in football is betting the point spread or over/under totals on individual games. . “He is not jaded by teams and does not bet with his heart.

“A square is the average, unsophisticated gambler whose decision making is based on hunches, media manipulation, or spurious systems that cannot overcome the bookmaker’s inherent mathematical advantage,” Konik explains. “For example, if you have a $1,000 bankroll for the season, you should generally bet no more than $50 a game.”

So, how much are we gambling each football season?

6.

9. Research Football Services – “Most sports services realize that most people who sign up with them are insecure,” Gordon warns. “Because alcohol clouds your judgment and usually helps you to make rash decisions you usually wouldn’t otherwise make. In fact, sports bettors must pick 52.4 percent winners just to break even.”

“The talking heads on TV know nothing about sports betting,” says Sevransky. “There will be more discrepancy in the numbers at different sports books. Bet at the Right Time – “The sharp bettors tend to bet underdogs, and they tend to bet them early,” Moseman says. “If you become an expert on a smaller conference like the WAC, you have a good chance to beat the house because sports book operators do not have the time or resources to follow this conference the way you can. And why not? We have unconditional love for the sport and betting $50 or $100 on a game adds an extra rush of adrenaline. If you are going to go with a favorite, it is best to place your bet early in the week when the sharps are laying heavy money on the points. Locks Don’t Exist – “Anyone who has watched sports for about a month realizes that the difference between winning and losing, especially against the spread, can be infinitesimally small,” Gordon says.

Betting on football games; whether it’s through a local bookie, an offshore Internet site or a Nevada casino (still the only legal place in America to make football bets), most of us have done it or know of someone who has. Big underdogs often find ways to cover the spread and they rarely give up toward the end of a game in front of the home crowd.”

“The bookies fear and despise a tiny coterie of professional bettors known as ‘the sharps,’” Konik says. Not all games work according to this formula, but it is usually a good rule of thumb.”

And where does all that money go?

Also, it’s probably a good idea to disregard advice from the myriad of ex-players and football experts you see on television each week. He is not taken in by being involved in USC-Notre Dame just because it is the biggest watched game of the day. Thanks to the juice, the only one who profits in this scenario is the bookmaker. On college you will be able to find different lines at different sports books.

Another difference between squares and sharps is how they approach betting on game day.

Michael Konik, a sports writer and best-selling author of The Smart Money (Simon & Schuster 2006), explains why it is so hard for the recreational gambler to win at betting on football.

“Most people with an understanding of football gambling bet between 3 percent and 5 percent of their bankroll, increasing when they win and reducing when they lose,” Vaccaro says. “Most people prefer to bet on the ‘better’ team, the one that will probably win the game. Oakland comes to mind) seem like the Super Bowl. If you want advice about sports betting, find someone who has a successful track record.

However, Konik adds that there are some bettors who actually know how to beat the bookies. If North Texas is his best bet on a Saturday then that is his bet. “Thus, the bookies love and cherish the squares.”

But that doesn’t mean you have to bet like a “square” and throw away your hard-earned money.

Certainly not back into the pockets of the average bettor. “If you listen to their advice, you are sure to lose. The payout is just the same as far as he is concerned. Drinking and Gambling Don’t Mix – “There is a reason the casinos in Las Vegas supply you with free drinks while you are gambling,” Moseman says. If you like an underdog, it is best to get your bet in as late as possible, where there is heavy action from squares on favorites. There are almost an infinite number of scenarios that can happen in a single football game. Also, being “in action” can make a dull late-afternoon game (Buffalo vs. Giving 11 to 10 odds is almost always the cheapest price you can give.”

So, is it possible for the average square to become a little sharper in making football bets this season? According to professionals like Vacarro, Konik and Gordon, amateur bettors have the best chance to win if they demonstrate a little patience and follow the 10 basic tips below. So underdogs tend to be slightly undervalued – except by the sharps.”

10.

And remember, in the immortal words of “Fast” Eddie Felson, “Money won is twice as sweet as money earned.”

While these tips don’t guarantee you’re going to win, hopefully they can make you a little less square and a little more sharp in your picks this season.

2. Avoid Exotic Bets – “For very skilled handicappers, with a proven track record, there can, at least in theory, be value in betting parlays,” says Gordon on the type of bet that combines two or more individual wagers.

“The biggest mistake that amateur bettors make is they increase their bets when they are losing,” Sevransky says. They use powerful computers that can process millions of bits of data and produce a more accurate point-spread line than the bookmakers.”

Ted Sevransky, a well-known Las Vegas gambler and sports consultant with Sportsmemo.com, agrees.

7. “The key to proper money management is to be sure not to bet more than you can afford to lose.”

“A square or recreational player might have a vague plan, but after two Corona’s he will definitely run to the window and make a hasty decision on the USC-Notre Dame game because he wants to be involved in the party atmosphere,” Vaccaro says. “Over the course of several seasons, the percentage of bettors who turn a profit is minuscule.”

4. But, when you’re struggling, that’s when you want to reduce your bet size until you get out of your slump. “When you’re in a good rhythm and winning, you want to increase your bets.

“In an average season, fewer than one bettor in twelve turns a profit,” Gordon says. Focus on Conferences – “The best way to win money betting football is to develop a niche and follow it closely,” Moseman advises. The NFL, for example, will have very similar numbers at most of the betting shops you visit.

So, how much should you bet a game?

Even Hollywood is not immune – think Two for the Money with Al Pacino and Matthew McConaughey.

Moseman agrees and especially likes home underdogs. Chasing losses is the fastest way to the poor house.”

“The standard bet requires gamblers to lay $11 for every $10 they want to win with the extra $1 or 10 percent known as the juice,” Konik says. Shop For Numbers – “Another important aspect of betting on football is shopping for the best number,” Moseman explains. There is a wealth of information on the Internet; it is just up to you to find it and research it daily.”

Newspapers and popular sports sites routinely publish the lines or point spreads for games, and football insiders offer their picks to viewers each week on ESPN and other cable networks. Slim underdogs regularly win outright. “Teams play inspired ball at home.

“There is probably no better bet in sports than playing an underdog at home,” Moseman says. These books change their numbers according to the betting patterns of their customers, so it is not entirely uncommon to find two or three point differences in the lines.”

1. The only locks that exist are those that need keys to open them.”

“A sharp or smart has a plan of what he wants to do,” says Vaccaro, the director of sports operations and public relations at Lucky’s Race and Sports Book in Las Vegas.

Although exact figures are impossible to calculate, according to Jimmy Vaccaro, widely considered to be Las Vegas’ most influential bookmaker, Americans probably wager more than $50 billion a year on NFL and college football combined.

3. Otherwise, you’re better off doing your own research.”

8. “Common wisdom says that over the course of a long football season the average man or woman will pick approximately 50 percent winners

Bookmaking for Dummies with the Price Per Head system

Your business should not be compromised by the sportsbook solution you choose.

6. Avoid new sportsbooks. He has now outsourced 70% of his business to an offshore price per head sports betting provider www.bookoldschool.com For more information on a price per head system please visit: http://www.offshorebook.net.

1. An offshore Book that is offering you a PPH option must have safeguards and must keep your information and clients secure and anonymous. They can barely understand them. Their staff should be FLUENT in english. The right to remain Silent – : Sammy Valeski, onshore bookmaker, 38 years in the buisiness: Security is Number ONE issue. the betting agent simply points their clients to a phone number and/or website and allows them to place their sports wagers online with a simple Pin/Password system that is either chosen or provided to by the sportsbook. Size of the agent credit sportsbook and their reputation is always good…but not a must.

<< Back to “Recreation And Sports” Index

From the dawning of legal offshore gambling, came the Price per head concept …and no..it is not a cattle weight conversion project to get more dough out of your beef.

4. Currently has 3 packages, over 1250 players. Not all is good and true . I know for a fact that my players remain with me out of the relationship I have built with them. You should have full trust in the one you are dealing with. Do your homework…a nice gold seal of approval from the somethingnot betting association of never never land is not necessarily a company touched by God.”

The offshore online gambling industry now a days has grown to such proportions that its not like the old days where you saw small tiny offshore sports betting books sprouting like weeds in a garden left and right. The only money that trades hands is the money between the agent or bookmaker and the Price Per Head software provider . It is called a Price Per Head service fee also known as PPH fee. Always consider that if the company you are considering is publicly held, as is the case with most large Sportsbooks, then your security is compromised (it CAN BE accessed via the government). Google the Company in question. With so many choices, the mother of questions is: “How do I know which Price Per Head provider or sports book to choose?” “Where do I go?”

About The Author

Price Per Head Bookmaking for Dummies

When evaluating an offshore turnkey sportbook operations , it is often difficult to actually see facts through fiction, for this reason, you must rely on the following to make a sound choice:

This article was posted on January 17, 2006

Well my little grass hopper…allow me to shed some light upon thee..

5. But times have changed and its easy to spot a fly by night betting offshore operation with a wishy washy service…they rarely last through the 1st season.

The who is who in the business – Jake Wesson, Floor Manager for BetEZ.com: “This isn’t rocket science…My business goes to the one who offers more options for me and my players. If their Integrity is at question, you can assume your data will be passed on to the wrong people.

2. You should be able to understand the staff.

The crem de le crem – Walter Fox, Full time bookie. As an offshore sportsbetting business grows..the big men behind it all become greedy.

. This is very common particularly in the sportsbetting offshore industry …companies being bought out by other companies which in return are bought out by yet another larger firm…and so forth down the line…its the Circle of life in the Corporate world. On the same note neither you nor your players should have to go through an intensive language comprehension course for foreigners. You must not afford to risk your clients or your sports season to a fly by night operator or ‘wanna be’ operator. Service / Offerings: Most turnkey sportsbooks now are open 24-hours a day, 7-days a week, 365-days a year. You may have the best english speaking clerks in the business, but if your players are getting shunned out from the customer service portion, its time for you to take your package and go elsewhere. Avoid excuberant bonus promises for your players and ridiculous promotions which you nor your players don’t really need. Where as a conservative price per head bookmaking operation…you see them, they go from season to season…and their quality of service never diminishes, their packages, their fees, their staffing….they remain the best in the industry…consider it as a family business..and you are part of that family. The PPH concept has been there since the beginning of time. There are some verifiable and known sources: The Prescription, Bettors World, etc. If there is so much as an inkling of an idea that your business is being compromised, BAIL OUT!. We see them all time. Proven track record does not necessarily mean a flashy logo of some 2 wit “watchdog organization”. It is keeping your players satisfied. Yet as mentioned before…be carefull. I see it time and time again. The gambling agent or bookmaker then pulls reports at the end of the week, and pays or collects what the client won or lost. Believe me there are more than one of those out there endorsing their own book. If you plan on going for the publicly traded bookmaking services offshore chances are you and your players information will be handled by more than one hand….and eventually will fall into the wrong pair of hands. They will give you the availability to grow…YOU have the edge. Check Internet Casino and sportsbook blacklists, there are hundreds of posting forums and Blogs out there with VERY useful information on the offshore gaming and casino industry. The more accessible the service is and the more wagering options that exist, the more money the betting agent will make. Integrity within the company you choose should never be left second hand. But as an internet gambling business changes from hand to hand so does the way it is managed. Customer service is also a top prioirity for me. You should consider the service mentioned above to be the minimum acceptable. They trust me, hence they trust where I lead my onshore gambling business and they WILL follow. They don’t treat your bookmaking business with the same respect as you do. They see you as another market, another onshore betting agent they need to lure and conquer and will try to take your players and flush you out. Reputable price per head sportsbooks will offer quarter lines, half time lines, game lines, money lines, propositions, multiple casinos, horse betting, and more. They respect your work and your business and treat you with the professionalism you and your players deserve and expect. Back then you had to be careful where you went because there was no telling what would happen to you and your players. You are looking for a price per head turnkey solution to better service your clients – therefore service is one of the key deciding factors on who to go with.

Bookmaking for Dummies with the Price Per Head system

 by: Andy Vecchio

3.

The Real Deal:. Their own book??? Yes…their own offshore sportsbook…that’s right boys and girls…there are these so called watchdog or betting organizations which where created and owned by the same sportsbooks and casinos they so gleefully refer and endorse. I have learned through painful experience that a big over-rated online sports book and casino service is not necessarily a good thing or a good place to put your moneys worth. Security: This is a MUST (needless to say) Your assets and your players should have the necessary security to continue doing business. An exceptionally reputable book offshore will look to accommodate your players by offering to actually hire personnel for your players language needs as is the case with OldSchool Bookie (www.oldschoolbookie.com) . I insist that every person I hire for my staff must be 100% fluent in English.

Andy Vecchio is a proffesional bookmaker that has been in business successfully for many years. The trick to a turnkey sportsbetting business is not the fee you pay. The bookmaking agent and their players (package) receive abundant benefits from the Price Per Head Agent Solution

The number of Offshore sportsbooks operations that offer this type of development for the “Local bookie” has grown exponentially over the last twelve months with new offers sprouting daily, top of the line turnkey sportsbetting software and more and more handsome offers and promises to be the best. I can never stress this enough…don’t believe everything you see (or read for that matter). Go for the safe way…they are out there and when you do find a good price per head turnkey service stick to it like a bad habbit, you and your business will grow rather, when a company is tied to a loser post-up sportsbook, you know what to expect for your clients.”

Gambling agents that come to us and choose our per head turnkey services for their customers complain that X book has the worst english speaking clerks. Don’t let your self be led by the next Tom, Dick or Harry that crosses the street saying that he came up with the Price per Head concept. You are moving your business off shore for convenience and lets face it….for protection. Reputation/Integrity: DO YOUR HOMEWORK….we are talking about YOUR business here = your money. If not they will remain open untill the last game of the day goes off the board. They will have internet access for your players and alternate back up sites for emergencies or problems on the main site.

(i) improved earning potential for the agent, (ii) decreased legal exposure for the bookmaking agent, (iii) increased customer service for the gambling agent’s clients, and (iv) ability for the agent to do something other than answer wagering calls AND having to deal with figures AND trying to increase his business without having time to sit back on the pool deck with a cocktail in one hand and a cigar on the other. Time in business is a must. Big is never good.

This is a win win situation for all parties involved. How simple is it? Very… There are several ways to run checks on the Offshore Sportsbooks and offshore per head services at hand. Years In Business: As you should always do when you are dealing with either your own clientle or your money (which is usually one and the same) make sure that the Company you choose for your PPH Provider has been around for at least 6 years…with a proven track record in the online gaming industry; needless to say. Try to lean for a more conservative price per head operation …they understand that this market is not one you want to lead a head on battle with. Troy, CA, Agent holding 798 players, been in business for 13 years : “I have been around for some time. (they actually get time to enjoy the money they are earning…for those at home). There are tons of perfect examples out there, the companies you hear the most about, yes children, those were sold out, bought out, and merged. The staffing changes, policies change, Prices on fees or any special treatment that you may have had where thrown out the window…they threw a monkey wrench in your whole operation and your players are stuck in the middle of this whole mess. Some onshore bookmakers have foreigners as part of their package and as additional service this book offers staff who can accommodate your players. These marketing tricks may work for the weak at mind and bring you more evil than good. Period!

Price Per Head Agent Solution or Outsourcing Bookmaking to an Offshore Sportsbook by using online sportsbook software and technology provided by this type of companies, allows agents – credit bookmakers to outsource the writing of their business to sportsbooks or companies such as www.OldSchoolBookie.com (Contact them at 800-382-2825). David Brunner. They often will see you and your players as just another account number….another onshore bookie out of the pile. Patterson, NJ: “One of the hardest things to find when you are outsorcing your bookmaking business is someone who treats your business as their own. Location: This should be the first thing you do…Make sure that the PPH provider you choose is Legally Licensed and Bonded in the Country it claims to be in. They tend to grow and grow…and at just the right time…sell out

10 Tips for Betting on Football

“Teams play inspired ball at home. “Because alcohol clouds your judgment and usually helps you to make rash decisions you usually wouldn’t otherwise make. Chasing losses is the fastest way to the poor house.”

And remember, in the immortal words of “Fast” Eddie Felson, “Money won is twice as sweet as money earned.”

Betting on football games; whether it’s through a local bookie, an offshore Internet site or a Nevada casino (still the only legal place in America to make football bets), most of us have done it or know of someone who has.

Certainly not back into the pockets of the average bettor.

“The talking heads on TV know nothing about sports betting,” says Sevransky. “Common wisdom says that over the course of a long football season the average man or woman will pick approximately 50 percent winners. Avoid Chasing Bets – “Don’t do it! There is no worse way to mismanage your bankroll than to chase your bets after a losing day,” cautions Moseman on the dangerous practice of trying to immediately win back your losses. “Squares usually bet later in the week and they tend to pick the favorites. “When you’re in a good rhythm and winning, you want to increase your bets.

8. Oakland comes to mind) seem like the Super Bowl. The only locks that exist are those that need keys to open them.”

“A sharp or smart has a plan of what he wants to do,” says Vaccaro, the director of sports operations and public relations at Lucky’s Race and Sports Book in Las Vegas. Consider Underdogs – “In the long-run, it’s easier to win betting on the underdog,” Konik says. Shop For Numbers – “Another important aspect of betting on football is shopping for the best number,” Moseman explains.

“The biggest mistake that amateur bettors make is they increase their bets when they are losing,” Sevransky says. Locks Don’t Exist – “Anyone who has watched sports for about a month realizes that the difference between winning and losing, especially against the spread, can be infinitesimally small,” Gordon says. If North Texas is his best bet on a Saturday then that is his bet. Focus on Conferences – “The best way to win money betting football is to develop a niche and follow it closely,” Moseman advises. “The key to proper money management is to be sure not to bet more than you can afford to lose.”

3. “Thus, the bookies love and cherish the squares.”

6. “There will be more discrepancy in the numbers at different sports books. On college you will be able to find different lines at different sports books. So underdogs tend to be slightly undervalued – except by the sharps.”

Also, it’s probably a good idea to disregard advice from the myriad of ex-players and football experts you see on television each week. “As for me, the best bet in football is betting the point spread or over/under totals on individual games. If you are going to go with a favorite, it is best to place your bet early in the week when the sharps are laying heavy money on the points. They use powerful computers that can process millions of bits of data and produce a more accurate point-spread line than the bookmakers.”

9. Not all games work according to this formula, but it is usually a good rule of thumb.”

So, is it possible for the average square to become a little sharper in making football bets this season? According to professionals like Vacarro, Konik and Gordon, amateur bettors have the best chance to win if they demonstrate a little patience and follow the 10 basic tips below. These books change their numbers according to the betting patterns of their customers, so it is not entirely uncommon to find two or three point differences in the lines.”

“A square or recreational player might have a vague plan, but after two Corona’s he will definitely run to the window and make a hasty decision on the USC-Notre Dame game because he wants to be involved in the party atmosphere,” Vaccaro says.

Michael Konik, a sports writer and best-selling author of The Smart Money (Simon & Schuster 2006), explains why it is so hard for the recreational gambler to win at betting on football. He is not taken in by being involved in USC-Notre Dame just because it is the biggest watched game of the day. Research Football Services – “Most sports services realize that most people who sign up with them are insecure,” Gordon warns. “In trying to bamboozle potential customers, many services make claims about having scouts all over the country that give them inside information and promise 70 or even 80 percent winners, as if the bookmakers were the biggest suckers in the world. Big underdogs often find ways to cover the spread and they rarely give up toward the end of a game in front of the home crowd.”

Another difference between squares and sharps is how they approach betting on game day.

But that doesn’t mean you have to bet like a “square” and throw away your hard-earned money.

5.

Ted Sevransky, a well-known Las Vegas gambler and sports consultant with Sportsmemo.com, agrees.

“Most people with an understanding of football gambling bet between 3 percent and 5 percent of their bankroll, increasing when they win and reducing when they lose,” Vaccaro says. “The sharps are usually members of a betting syndicate privy to the most up-to-date information on injuries, weather, game plans, and, most important, the real power of the teams involved.

So, how much should you bet a game?

7. If you like an underdog, it is best to get your bet in as late as possible, where there is heavy action from squares on favorites. The NFL, for example, will have very similar numbers at most of the betting shops you visit. He loses year after year, according to Dan Gordon, a top football handicapper and author of How to Beat the Sports Books (Cardoza Publishing 2005). Slim underdogs regularly win outright. If you want advice about sports betting, find someone who has a successful track record. In fact, sports bettors must pick 52.4 percent winners just to break even.”

And where does all that money go?

“There is probably no better bet in sports than playing an underdog at home,” Moseman says. “Most people prefer to bet on the ‘better’ team, the one that will probably win the game. “He is not jaded by teams and does not bet with his heart. Also, being “in action” can make a dull late-afternoon game (Buffalo vs.

10. “For example, if you have a $1,000 bankroll for the season, you should generally bet no more than $50 a game.”

Although exact figures are impossible to calculate, according to Jimmy Vaccaro, widely considered to be Las Vegas’ most influential bookmaker, Americans probably wager more than $50 billion a year on NFL and college football combined. Avoid Exotic Bets – “For very skilled handicappers, with a proven track record, there can, at least in theory, be value in betting parlays,” says Gordon on the type of bet that combines two or more individual wagers.

“The bookies fear and despise a tiny coterie of professional bettors known as ‘the sharps,’” Konik says. “Over the course of several seasons, the percentage of bettors who turn a profit is minuscule.”

Suggest a correction

***

So, how much are we gambling each football season?

“A square is the average, unsophisticated gambler whose decision making is based on hunches, media manipulation, or spurious systems that cannot overcome the bookmaker’s inherent mathematical advantage,” Konik explains. The payout is just the same as far as he is concerned.

. Thanks to the juice, the only one who profits in this scenario is the bookmaker. Drinking and Gambling Don’t Mix – “There is a reason the casinos in Las Vegas supply you with free drinks while you are gambling,” Moseman says. Otherwise, you’re better off doing your own research.”

1. Giving 11 to 10 odds is almost always the cheapest price you can give.”

Newspapers and popular sports sites routinely publish the lines or point spreads for games, and football insiders offer their picks to viewers each week on ESPN and other cable networks. And why not? We have unconditional love for the sport and betting $50 or $100 on a game adds an extra rush of adrenaline.

While these tips don’t guarantee you’re going to win, hopefully they can make you a little less square and a little more sharp in your picks this season. Bet at the Right Time – “The sharp bettors tend to bet underdogs, and they tend to bet them early,” Moseman says. “If you listen to their advice, you are sure to lose. To be a successful sports bettor you need to operate with a clear mind.”

Moseman agrees and especially likes home underdogs. There is a wealth of information on the Internet; it is just up to you to find it and research it daily.”

Even Hollywood is not immune – think Two for the Money with Al Pacino and Matthew McConaughey.

But even though the math says it’s virtually impossible to win on a consistent basis, Americans continue to bet on football. “If you become an expert on a smaller conference like the WAC, you have a good chance to beat the house because sports book operators do not have the time or resources to follow this conference the way you can. Money Management – “This is without a doubt the most important aspect of betting on sports and possibly the most neglected,” says Morey “Doc” Moseman, a professional gambler and sports consultant with DocSports.com for nearly 40 years.

However, Konik adds that there are some bettors who actually know how to beat the bookies. There are almost an infinite number of scenarios that can happen in a single football game.

2.

“In an average season, fewer than one bettor in twelve turns a profit,” Gordon says. The only touts bettors should consider are the ones who talk about the long haul and realistic winning percentages, which are in the upper 50 percent to lower 60 percent range.”

4. But, when you’re struggling, that’s when you want to reduce your bet size until you get out of your slump.

“The standard bet requires gamblers to lay $11 for every $10 they want to win with the extra $1 or 10 percent known as the juice,” Konik says. “In the NFL, a game will often be totally turned around by one or two plays, or even a single penalty

Spread Betting Online

Article Directory: http://www.articledashboard.com

For further spread betting information, of whatever level, contact us today – either through our website or via our Trading Desk hotline. Whether you are experienced at spread betting in the UK or are starting to learn the basics through spread betting online, we offer you the chance to benefit from our years of expertise and experience in this method of trading.

The aim of the WorldSpreads Group is to provide high quality sports and financial betting services to a global audience. We look forward to working with you.

We offer spread betting information to our investors from the moment they choose to open an account with us. The tutorial lasts as long as the account-owner desires and once it has taken place, they should then be in possession of all the knowledge they require to begin spread betting online.

WorldSpreads.com prides itself on offering unbiased, accurate and up-to-the-minute spread betting information to all its investors. Here we pass on market insights and advice that are taken from a team of Independent Analysts. This information can then be used to develop spread betting strategies that are designed to maximise an investor’s profit potential.. Its international expansion is geared around finding the best business partners in new territories who can ensure that the product offering is adapted for the needs of the local customer bases.

By: Anant Swarup

Jonh is a spread betting expert and has been associated for many years with worldspreads.com, the leading spread betting company which offer financial spread betting and sports spread betting services in the UK.

For those who have been spread betting in the UK for six months or more, we offer more detailed spread betting information in the form of our Advisory Services. In order to ensure the highest standards of service, and to drive its expansion to an international audience, the Group has assembled a team with an envious track record in the industry. Initially this takes place in the form of a tutorial designed to familiarize a new account-owner with the many financial products there are to choose from, such as CFDs and Futures and Options. The tutorial can take place at our offices or by telephone, if this is not convenient

Thiel Foundation Announces 2016 Thiel Fellows

Varden’s technology has been used to transport thousands of people, more

than any other autonomous vehicle company in the US.

Panashe Mahachi (Kitchener, Ontario, Canada / Mountain View, CA)

Lace

Labs

Government Technology

Panashe is

co-founder of Lace, a marketplace for cities and other municipalities to

find and purchase cutting-edge software. Our message may have seemed

odd four or five years ago–some found it blasphemous to question how

well American higher education was working, and to suggest

entrepreneurship as an alternative path–but today even the colleges are

waking up; top schools are creating their own incubators, crafting more

flexible stop-out policies, and even raising venture capital funds. By leveraging the power of ocean currents to

concentrate and extract plastic waste, The Ocean Cleanup is orders of

magnitude more efficient than traditional approaches that rely on boats

and nets.

. He is now working on Quizr, a sports betting

application that launches in Europe in late 2016.

Anthony Zhang (Calgary, Alberta, Canada / Mountain View, CA)

EnvoyNow

Local

Delivery

Anthony is CEO and co-founder of EnvoyNow, a last-mile

food delivery service focusing on colleges and universities. Introducing the 2016 Thiel Fellows

SAN FRANCISCO–(BUSINESS WIRE)–The Thiel Foundation today accepted 29 new members into the 2016 class

of Thiel Fellows. AppHub’s mission is to empower engineers by eliminating

tedious and redundant, time-consuming work.

Pamela Valdes Esteva (Mexico City, Mexico)

Beek

Social

Networking

Pamela is co-founder and CEO of Beek, a social

network for millennial book lovers.

This year’s cohort was selected from more than 6,000 applications

received from around the world.

Grace Xiao & Raul Jordan (Cambridge, MA)

Kynplex

Communication

Software

Grace and Raul are co-founders of Kynplex, a startup

that provides communication tools for scientific laboratories. NeoReach is currently used by industry giants such as

Wal-Mart, Amazon, and NBC.

Thiel Fellows receive mentorship and guidance from current and former

fellows, as well as from the Thiel Foundation’s network of technology

entrepreneurs, investors, and scientists.

Cosmo Scharf (Los Angeles, CA)

The Virtual Reality

Foundation and Visionary VR

Virtual Reality

Cosmo

co-founded The Virtual Reality Foundation, a non-profit organization

that produces the world’s largest event showcasing virtual reality

technology, VRLA Expo, as well as The Proto Awards, the premier

celebration for recognizing virtual reality content. By

connecting the fragmented world of scientific research, Kynplex aims to

accelerate the pace of discovery.

Brian Truong (Boston, MA)

HelloToken

Enterprise

Software

Brian is CEO and co-founder of HelloToken, a company

that enables digital publishers to earn up to 10x more for their content

by posing simple market research questions to readers instead of serving

ads. Revlo makes it easy for

broadcasters to interact with all their fans and monetize them.

Henry Hu (Hong Kong / San Francisco)

Cafe X

Food

Technology, Automation

A native of Beijing, Henry Hu is CEO and

co-founder of Cafe X, which designs, manufactures, and operates

automated robotic cafés that serve locally roasted coffee in 10 seconds.

“In the past few years we’ve seen a dramatic change in the way young

people approach their potential,” said Jack Abraham, Executive Director

of the Thiel Fellowship.

Young people now have more options than ever.”

Aditya Agarwalla (New Delhi, India)

Kisan Network

Agriculture

Marketplace

Aditya is co-founder of Kisan Network, an online

marketplace for the $200 billion Indian agricultural ecosystem. Poirier (Montreal)

Retinad

Virtual

Reality; Gaming

Samuel is co-founder and CEO of Retinad, the

preeminent analytics platform for virtual reality apps. The fellowship provides young people with $100,000 to

learn by doing rather than by following conventional paths like college. To date, Equidate

has helped thousands of employees at private companies sell portions of

their stock to accredited investors in the absence of an IPO or

corporate sale.

Jesse Leimgruber (San Francisco)

NeoReach

Marketing

Technology

Jesse founded and runs NeoReach, a startup

developing influencer marketing technology for Fortune 1000 brands and

their agencies. Their wholesome, slow-simmered bone broth is available at select

Whole Foods, Sprouts Farmers Market locations, and several online

retailers.

Joey Levy (New York)

Quizr

Sports

Gaming

Joey founded Draftpot, a daily fantasy sports platform,

from his dorm room in 2014. Retinad helps

developers create better VR content with tools such as heat maps and

user emotional tracking so that consumers can enjoy a more immersive,

personalized virtual reality experience.

The Thiel Foundation supports science, technology, and long-term

thinking about the future. “Many are applying to the program with one or

two companies already under their belts–they’ve become successful

founders before they can even buy a beer. Local governments are

increasingly interested in innovation; the Lace platform helps municipal

staff to build smarter cities.

Matt Arbesfeld (Cambridge, MA)

AppHub

Developer

Tools

Matt co-founded AppHub, a company that builds tools that

let app developers deploy and update software applications easily and

instantly. In turn, HelloToken has created an engine for real-time contextual

research across millions of people.

Megan Grassell (Jackson Hole, WY)

Yellowberry

Apparel

Megan

founded Yellowberry in high school when she realized that tween girls

like her younger sister lacked age-appropriate options when buying their

first bras. BioMetrix is pushing the limits of connected

technology and insight-driven intelligence with a simple, skin-adhered

sensor. Three years later, Yellowberry has pioneered a new approach

to this market, and has expanded beyond bras to underwear, loungewear,

and activewear.

Samuel F.

“This has been proven true–by the successes of our past fellows, by the

new applications we get every year, and by the growing numbers of young

people who are creating their own career paths outside of college, with

or without a fellowship from us.”

Ivonna Dumanyan (Kherson, Ukraine / Durham, NC)

BioMetrix

Wearable

Performance Technology; Artificial Intelligence

Ivonna is

co-founder and CEO of BioMetrix, a wearable platform for injury

prediction and prevention. Through a

workforce of students who live on campus, EnvoyNow makes delivery

direct-to-dorm room, direct-to-lecture hall, and direct-to-study nook

faster and more accurate than mapping software-based delivery services

can achieve.

Alex Rodrigues (Calgary, Alberta / Mountain View, CA)

Varden

Labs

Autonomous Vehicles

Alex is CEO of Varden

Labs, a startup developing self-driving shuttles for private campuses. The system evaluates athlete movement to identify injury risk

factors and inform smarter training.

ABOUT THE THIEL FOUNDATION

Luke Sophios (San Diego)

CourseKey

Education

Technology

Luke is founder and CEO of CourseKey, a software

company that allows teachers to leverage the devices that their students

are already bringing to class – laptops, tablets, and smartphones – to

instantly create a more interactive, engaging “smart classroom”.

Matthew Salsamendi & James Boehm (Seattle, WA)

Beam

Social

Gaming

Matt and James co-founded Beam, an interactive

live-streaming platform for gamers. Lunar Labs aims to bring online the 64 million

Americans–and then billions more worldwide–that don’t yet own a

smartphone.

Joey Krug (Knoxville, IL)

Augur

Prediction

Markets

Joey is building the world’s first decentralized

prediction market platform. For more information, see thielfoundation.org.

Eva Shang (Cambridge, MA)

Legalist

Legal

Analytics

Eva is co-founder of Legalist, a legal analytics and

alert platform that helps lawyers keep track of new developments in case

law so that they can represent their clients more effectively.

“We launched the fellowship in 2011 to test a simple thesis: college

isn’t right for everyone–especially for young people who want to create

new things,” said Blake Masters, President of the Thiel Foundation. Kisan

enables farmers to sell their produce directly to institutional buyers

using a smartphone, rather than going through the physical marketplace

dominated by middlemen.

Christian Owens (London)

Paddle.com

Software

Christian

is the founder and CEO of Paddle.com, which builds infrastructure for

software companies to help companies deal with complex issues such as

payments, taxes, localization, and analytics.

Sohail Prasad (Plano, TX / San Francisco)

Equidate

Financial

Technology

Sohail is the founder and co-CEO of Equidate, a

secondary marketplace for shares in private companies. Augur is built on the Ethereum blockchain

and allows users to forecast events and be rewarded for predicting them

correctly.

Lexi Smith (Boston)

Carewell

Health IT

Lexi

is co-founder of Carewell, an intelligent caregiving platform that helps

caregivers take care of loved ones with dementia by using wearable

devices to learn the smartest ways to provide personalized care.

To date, companies created by Thiel Fellows are together worth more than

$1.4 billion.

James Sun (Toronto, Canada)

Revlo

Social

Gaming

James is co-founder and CEO of Revlo, a fan engagement

platform for the game broadcaster Twitch. Beek casts aside sterile 5-star

rating systems and lets users discuss and react to books while they are

actually reading them.

Hunter Rosenblume & Rohith Varanasi (Detroit, MI)

Lunar

Labs

Telecommunications

Hunter and Rohith

co-founded Lunar Labs, a startup that sells smartphones with no monthly

contracts and pay-as-you-go data on a per-app basis starting at just

pennies per day. Beam lets viewers of live-streamed

video game sessions get involved in the game, influencing gameplay in

real time.

Nick Mares (San Francisco)

Kettle & Fire

Food

Nick

co-founded Kettle & Fire with his brother to bring to market the world’s

first shelf-stable bone broth made from grass-fed, pasture-raised

cattle. He is also the

co-founder of Visionary VR, a venture-backed startup building software

for creating stories using virtual reality.

Boyan Slat (Delft, The Netherlands)

The Ocean Cleanup

Environmental

Technology

Boyan founded and runs The Ocean Cleanup, a

non-profit organization that develops technologies to rid the world’s

oceans of plastic